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Forex Trading: 2009

Friday, October 23, 2009

News Trading

Trading the news is becoming a popular technique to trade the forex markets … and why shouldn’t it be? Time and time again you see currency pairs move 50 to 100 pips within minutes or even seconds after a major news release. When you see that, I bet you’re thinking, “50 to 100 pips!? That’s easy money!” Maybe it is, and maybe it isn’t. It all depends on how prepared you are to trade a news release.
The goal of this lesson isn’t to give you a specific “Trading the News” strategy. The goal is to point you in the right direction and show some of the risks involved with trading these events, because here at BabyPips.com, we want to help you help yourself in developing your own methods that fit YOU best.
Why Trade the News?
Trading news releases can be a significant tool in your trading arsenal. If you want, it can be your only weapon altogether. Economic news reports often spur strong short-term moves in the market, which are great trading opportunities for breakout traders. And with the forex being open 24 hours a day and a true worldwide market, there are plenty of opportunities almost every trading day to catch market volatility (aka a lot of pips!) kicked off by an economic news report.

Thursday, October 22, 2009

Forex News Trading


How do the majority of profitable Forex traders truly profit in the FX market? One way… they trade the news!
Forex News Trader was developed to give traders the edge they need to learn how to trade based on economic news events from around the world. The same edge the institutions use to make hundreds of millions and even billions of dollars in profit each year.
Forex News Trading will provide you with the information you need to give you a true insider’s understanding of the Forex markets. You will feel confident in your trading, and never doubt your trades again.
Does this mean you will win every trade? No, of course not, but armed with the knowledge Forex News Trader will provide you, you will never be afraid to take that next trade – as the odds will now be tipped in your favor.
Each and every month there are a tremendous number of news releases for the Off Exchange Retail Foreign Currency Market (FOREX). Many of these events and announcements move the markets considerably. But how do you properly capitalize on these moves? Get it wrong and you could be wiped out. Get it right and you can be in a small group of trading elite, consistently pulling pips out of the market each and every week.

Forex trading news

Though the dollar continues to push to new 14-month lows, the pace of this descent has cooled. However, this should not be considered a sign that conditions are actually improving for the US economy or its currency; because that would ignore the underlying fundamental current behind this benchmark – risk appetite. It has been said ad nauseam in the past months that the dollar’s primary driver is general market sentiment; and that reality has not changed. In fact, the correlation between currency and investor opinion may have actually intensified over the past week as the US dollar is forced more surely into its role of top funding currency while risk appetite maintains its bullish trajectory. Over the past few weeks, we have seen a notable pickup in the hawkish bearing of some of the Fed’s more prominent peers, which in turn leaves the American authority in deeper relief with its steadfast outlook for a mid-2010 return to tightening. Among the most notable central banks ahead of the curve are the RBA, RBNZ, ECB and perhaps even the BoE. While the Bank of England is still a long ways away from the milestone hike, the market’s perception of a hawkish turn on QE has set the tone. If the dollar has any hope of recovery in the near-term, risk appetite will have to plunge or US market rates inflate.

Forex news

Optimism among the world’s investors continues to rise – well, the influx of capital from otherwise safe haven assets is keeping the markets buoyant at least. It is important to differentiate between a true measure of confidence and a natural adaptation of the market. The ICI’s Money Market Funds Assets index dropped to its lowest level in a year; but even after this steady, nine-month decline the gauge still shows $3.402 trillion on the sidelines. Much of this capital will eventually find its way back into the speculative space; but if it hasn’t been rediversified yet then those managing the funds are likely skeptical of the aggressive bull run we have experienced so far this year and are awaiting a true return of yield income. It is not a stretch to assume a high percentage of the capital that has migrated back to equities and other risky assets belongs to speculators and traders that are looking to take advantage of the impressive capital gains since February. If this is the case, then a correction could easily encourage a broad wave of profit-taking. A reversal is just a matter of time; but depending on when it takes place, the impact can be very different. Given enough time for dedicated capital to return to stabilize the market, the pullback could be mild. Alternatively, a turn when speculative funds define the market could trigger a plunge.
A Closer Look at Market Conditions
The bullish trend behind the market’s most high profile benchmarks is still intact; but the progress these securities are making is growing strained. The Dow Jones Industrial Average produced a new high today at 10,119.47; but the session would actually end the day in the red and maintain congestion that has been building for a week. It seems the 3Q earnings session is finding a more skeptical crowd this time around as the realities of medium-term growth set in. A moderate recovery also has its tempering effects on commodities. Crude set a new 14 months high today; but supplies are ballooning and demand is shrinking with limited expansion on the horizon.
For the most part, fear and volatility within the market continues to deflate. The standard measures of activity are at or near yearly lows and the steady influx of capital is padding the winning sense of capital returns. However, this complacency suggests the makings of trouble. With fear gauges steadily declining and positioning measures showing an increasingly one-sided market (behind bulls), the imbalance will eventually have to be corrected. When the profit taking starts, it will likely be relatively staid at first; but the sheer interest in assets that bear no interest, just the hope of capital return, could easily incite panic of evaporating profits. This reversal may be closer than many expect.

Forex marketing

Speculators and investors are still finding their way back into the financial markets; but there are still serious doubts as to the stability that exists for these eager market participants. The promise of capital gain is still the primary draw for most as the more stable sources of income in bond yields and equity dividends are still a long ways off. Nonetheless, the capital turnover has revived liquidity to the market and bolstered confidence – perhaps long enough for economic growth to encourage capital investment and more permanent investments. However, all it would take to bring the markets crashing down is a round of profit taking or an unfavorable reaction to warnings that the government is ready to remove the stimulus safety net.
Like the rest of the world, the United States economy is expected to report positive growth in the second half of this year and really see its recovery get underway in 2010 and beyond. However, as currency traders know all too well, this is a relative game; and the strength of the dollar depends on the pace of the US recovery compared to that of its major counterparts. We will receive a definitive update on the nation’s health next week with the advance reading of 3Q GDP. In the meantime, the outlook is certainly measured. The Fed’s Beige Book offered reason for concern. While the general consensus was that many areas saw “stabilization” and “modest improvement,” labor markets were still week, there was no wage growth and credit quality was eroding.

Forex markets

Forex News Trader was developed to give traders the edge they need to learn how to trade based on economic news events from around the world. The same edge the institutions use to make hundreds of millions and even billions of dollars in profit each year.
Forex News Trading will provide you with the information you need to give you a true insider’s understanding of the Forex markets. You will feel confident in your trading, and never doubt your trades again.
Does this mean you will win every trade? No, of course not, but armed with the knowledge Forex News Trader will provide you, you will never be afraid to take that next trade – as the odds will now be tipped in your favor.
Each and every month there are a tremendous number of news releases for the Off Exchange Retail Foreign Currency Market (FOREX). Many of these events and announcements move the markets considerably. But how do you properly capitalize on these moves? Get it wrong and you could be wiped out. Get it right and you can be in a small group of trading elite, consistently pulling pips out of the market each and every week.

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